Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 3:21:00 P.M. to 10/28/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 703,371.37
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
27001x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
253,999.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0042aaead8e948e57B69D9B3c7260112dd2D5768.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 253999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0042aaead8e948e57B69D9B3c7260112dd2D5768.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
703,371.37 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0042aaead8e948e57B69D9B3c7260112dd2D5768
Net sender
Unknown type
253,999.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
219,989.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00229cedD994a28cD1fe37C6a85E80AE909C8241
Net sender
Unknown type
100,164.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007eacAaE0bfc5AF27469f81F48c10B7b86aEa51
Net sender
Unknown type
39,999.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 703,371.37 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
9.41 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:20:29 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
253,999.3 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:21:33 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
449,372.07 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:22:37 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:18:25 P.M.
+3 min
30 tx
176,922.06 QUAI • 47 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:23:41 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
34.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:17:21 P.M.
+4 min
20 tx
35,528.22 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:24:46 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
84.92 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:16:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
253,999.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:21:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0042aaead8e948e57B69D9B3c7260112dd2D5768
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
219,989.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:21:32 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031003cb26860a800b201034901630966661ed74486626ecb7af11761271d24
24,337.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:21:32 P.M.
From: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f006af140e65ed5262a31a111ecde61d82b1cf2374026be9fcca3c321f3a8
18,770.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:21:32 P.M.
From: 0x0064F9d7195E2e4c8A38C00668d69d910846176f
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0040003bac3dd65158feeeaa2599f66d452c9e3849d8b8406b126c3ef2913b92
100,164.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:21:32 P.M.
From: 0x00229cedD994a28cD1fe37C6a85E80AE909C8241
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005007c41a5227d02bded2f07ce89e7467ee21e1ceb17f15b892c80285c031e
39,999.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:21:32 P.M.
From: 0x007eacAaE0bfc5AF27469f81F48c10B7b86aEa51
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016000f23c5b222259d9e388e92eb644962c54251ebf13300e356c4a929488c
30,499.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:21:32 P.M.
From: 0x004D70fd6AbA65fd5a23c8510e74aeE1836e3713
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003900035cfb64e8bc98358fa477ad6873c15a86d94177c10c75a70d89c3981e
15,611.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:21:32 P.M.
From: 0x0053688344349158e9FBC0Ad6b74E119fCf93A9c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00710004014a740f4ae8e5dddd5823ea78718a1588f22333ba7a4e62422e222c
253,999.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:21:07 P.M.
From: 0x0042aaead8e948e57B69D9B3c7260112dd2D5768
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e001348203db2e37b243df61adac87b62be0dbd24476c148c5b5af124dbae