Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 1:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 1:35:00 P.M. to 10/28/2026, 1:36:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 66.42
Unexplained QUAI: 84.13
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
1.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
150.56 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00C514725088E85d87b3633E8c94c3195446D15d.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 151 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00C514725088E85d87b3633E8c94c3195446D15d.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00C514725088E85d87b3633E8c94c3195446D15d (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 1:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00C514725088E85d87b3633E8c94c3195446D15d
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
66.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048beE1645704115a8fC69ccDf3ccE65d2952ec
Net receiver
Unknown type
66.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00C514725088E85d87b3633E8c94c3195446D15d
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
112.42 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/28/2026, 1:34:28 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
150.56 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 1:35:38 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/28/2026, 1:33:24 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
115 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 1:36:41 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/28/2026, 1:32:21 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/28/2026, 1:37:45 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/28/2026, 1:31:17 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/28/2026, 1:38:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 1:35:19 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C514725088E85d87b3633E8c94c3195446D15d
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 1:35:35 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C514725088E85d87b3633E8c94c3195446D15d
Tx: 0x006800b9a35262b89f22d04792806dd3d8cd8932a3b1b5429495779dbffaf592
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 1:35:19 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C514725088E85d87b3633E8c94c3195446D15d
Tx: 0x002a006dddc71e43a8e709410870046a118dd933f929c55080ae29458686d672
66.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 1:35:19 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x0048beE1645704115a8fC69ccDf3ccE65d2952ec
Tx: 0x005c002c48981f649c9033b5b03b36666c46a7b4686d47072c79f799dffc4269
