Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 11:06:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3.33
Unexplained QUAI: 56.2
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
59.53 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA • 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 60 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA • 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB.
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA -> 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.43 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.43 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
3.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
59.53 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:06:13 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
929.28 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:05:09 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
38.58 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:07:17 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:04:05 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:08:21 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:03:01 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate51 tx
1,009.02 QUAI • 67 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:09:25 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:01:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
300 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:06:16 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:06:46 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000200d3deadf89a062a524ab0e4ea893ee3fdb1524760cbcf11e3e320ef5dbc
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:06:16 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005d00718935e704a5589cf2490dd595f1fed0ba20d6426e32e414af10c435a9
3.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:06:16 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Tx: 0x0044006154bdf809cda64e7d62b8f513b74b97f149a3034690edb693ed708a24