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Spike bucket

10/28/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/28/2026, 11:05:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 59.53
Unexplained QUAI: 869.75
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
16x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
929.28 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00C5FD2c22f84177323Ee5BabB7aA3a57cdb3703.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 929 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00C5FD2c22f84177323Ee5BabB7aA3a57cdb3703.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00C5FD2c22f84177323Ee5BabB7aA3a57cdb3703 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
355.57 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00C5FD2c22f84177323Ee5BabB7aA3a57cdb3703
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
54.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398f4AdA8f0353F82df103afCDb6DF33AB41C7
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
2.87 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00C5FD2c22f84177323Ee5BabB7aA3a57cdb3703
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:05:38 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C5FD2c22f84177323Ee5BabB7aA3a57cdb3703

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:05:53 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C5FD2c22f84177323Ee5BabB7aA3a57cdb3703
Tx: 0x005a00d782bfb8787791f1130885e783c44bee73a69ea33374aa40d89851ac02
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:05:38 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C5FD2c22f84177323Ee5BabB7aA3a57cdb3703
Tx: 0x006f007ff9e1787a5c3dc3a59a8e35781bf20e53c2c89c39235f7dc788234526
54.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:05:38 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x00398f4AdA8f0353F82df103afCDb6DF33AB41C7
Tx: 0x00410038e744e0af339a6b67b894434fb28b5675fc653c52734e7e83497a60d0
2.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:05:38 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x001D62a2b6E629103E12cb9F5EB400D9859087c7
Tx: 0x002d0058272918645b990f004166e1f6db1e1fe84c5f86e2bd528336dc7e3718
2.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:05:22 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Tx: 0x00260028c919c2462a968ba2b9d0e2dbfbc95f3091a5398f015e15b5b5d26c77
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:05:11 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00850aAdB0F31f224e232cB2c6CB9Eb82DF45228
Tx: 0x004d00c938bda0568901a0395a35086026757f0b05e64950e8ada5aa7a666858