Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 7:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 7:27:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 7:28:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9.99
Unexplained QUAI: 1,966.44
Explained QI: 2.5
Unexplained QI: 297.5
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
198x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
1,976.42 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0030d6d49A3C6e1B7C43F4934D326220e0C100B3 • 0x00773Db868CB4c0699e3E2d3cA06c0Cc9C73dd08.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1976 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0030d6d49A3C6e1B7C43F4934D326220e0C100B3 • 0x00773Db868CB4c0699e3E2d3cA06c0Cc9C73dd08.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 7:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0030d6d49A3C6e1B7C43F4934D326220e0C100B3
Net sender
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00773Db868CB4c0699e3E2d3cA06c0Cc9C73dd08
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
4.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.5 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,976.42 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:27:12 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:26:08 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
9.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:28:16 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate18 tx
16,872.59 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:25:04 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:29:20 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:24:00 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:30:23 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:22:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:27:27 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0030d6d49A3C6e1B7C43F4934D326220e0C100B3
To: 0x00773Db868CB4c0699e3E2d3cA06c0Cc9C73dd08
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.5 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:27:47 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007000d1c5ae90bd67f84608fc128fe8bde4c01e3cae2a207bf3dc865e88da4f
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:27:27 A.M.
From: 0x0030d6d49A3C6e1B7C43F4934D326220e0C100B3
To: 0x00773Db868CB4c0699e3E2d3cA06c0Cc9C73dd08
Tx: 0x004a0010ddf23865d96dbfe9e0e367f7cc494548d5c9dccec7c59f55d18ebedb
4.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:27:27 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Tx: 0x0008003a37b105813be47da48a772bd4dc4d2ddd81096187636735adf9fc3b89
