Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 7:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 7:09:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 7:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
27% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 365.59
Unexplained QUAI: 1,009.14
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.49
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
3.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
11
21.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
73
Asset volume
1,374.73 QUAI
2.49 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1375 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 7:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (73% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (27%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
212.3 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
153.3 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
Net sender
Unknown type
106.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Net sender
Unknown type
105.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
38.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 212.3 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
1,374.73 QUAI • 73 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:09:04 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:07:59 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
365.59 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:10:08 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:06:55 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
2 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:11:12 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
8,516.42 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:05:51 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:12:16 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/28/2026, 7:04:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
106.45 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
26.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
Tx: 0x005b001cc01793670a7836b410bfbcb4be64fceebfca8db93929482b3a97aa0e
12.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x007f007c92d1b9a260022e5e318402d4a0b26c6921a753de71e64b73a53a716e
5.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x002c0040850c22da5458e174ec74b7c0bcdbc50be047050ac20b70125259ba93
15.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x0019000fedbfa4c60ea2c8439e526c9ef673960f98f1c81ce81229b86566285b
8.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x00350066e1111d0fdb9e278fd9648bb16620ea51ec36638afd70c6b9f566da52
4.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x006b00223451c555328079d1f35a1da9eee2145b07bc9cd13843a1a2281fee4d
16.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x000a007c1fbd9b3c9db80924a39ee37b28439c04ec8f595537ee2bd2558edd6a
38.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x001f002b2b729d419e26e60c235af806556e6a42bb4211c4f520faa92d9a7a71
24.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0062001c7f537fdbd33515a582f991889f283266670e61356d1ce6612782c6d3
105.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:37 A.M.
From: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028005157517e11159bb3fc8e6db01dc58b236656dbfc56f94f01bcb33cc4fd
106.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 7:09:37 A.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0052002bdbb38d6e7ffa3aa93209c8bc7588a5f67ce15d4ff78640a6f7c6bc34