Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 3:51:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 3:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
18% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 56.72
Unexplained QUAI: 260.41
Explained QI: 2.5
Unexplained QI: 297.5
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
5.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
317.13 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 317 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
56.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
56.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.5 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.5 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
317.13 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:51:11 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:50:07 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
56.72 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:52:14 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
4.84 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:49:04 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:53:18 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
381.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:47:59 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
52.42 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:54:23 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate6 tx
34,429.71 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 3:46:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
56.72 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:51:30 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
56.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:51:30 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Tx: 0x0020003fc831b351c30df3b43c221f190dea01772d253b3a6c51f749147acabf
2.5 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 3:51:13 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000b00e51442b393c96c7353539da1dac176de7103df2764b71edcba6df93c75