Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 2:51:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
39% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,768.37
Unexplained QUAI: 6,008.62
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 1,000
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
6.5x previous minute
2.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
6
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
9,776.99 QUAI
1,000 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 9777 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (61% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,596.98 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,596.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,171.39 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x003EFc6E61BB4B03A165EA5dFf88E1F496f7F8cE
Net receiver
Unknown type
596.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0047D5cE91355923c0516c4a96E19Ca45f0f6563
Net receiver
Unknown type
553.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
9,776.99 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:51:01 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
1,504.98 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:49:56 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
3,768.37 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:52:05 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
17,244.5 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:48:51 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
17,874.98 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:53:10 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
1,513.99 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:47:46 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate16 tx
21,074.96 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:54:14 A.M.
+4 min
11 tx
13,471.23 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:55:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,596.35 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:51:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
553.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:51:39 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0047D5cE91355923c0516c4a96E19Ca45f0f6563
Tx: 0x00160039c9cf9eedeb216bb7c8035d6d16e3d14c81859494c883457d22e179a9
437.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:51:39 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003f4F6Dd8234B6e0Ae76c25296d6D3d987C8541
Tx: 0x00310061c76e2fae0d473923c692e0837591cad3bb57449c59529d5cf8f6ad50
137.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:51:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Tx: 0x00740077cb8b8eeb762ac48276ded2742fd8c8149d782ef7ad23d027808aa7cf
1,596.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:51:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD
Tx: 0x0030004859406bb9a986c7a571c22ac74c2444c334284b6b37d1c47c6297921e
596.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:51:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003EFc6E61BB4B03A165EA5dFf88E1F496f7F8cE
Tx: 0x000e0033bb362189985ac85bf44f45a52f33b98218788acd5f2c092d89d613a1
447.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:51:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x007800235103b57e8f6055e0fdfca37c3f13ef135ece5a4609444b40b64a2671