Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 2:45:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,514.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
7,514.52 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 7515 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
6,136.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,069.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b9247805f5E437a2b2c6BB3198c31E0af0B66
Net sender
Unknown type
3,066.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,069.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,069.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
15,173.58 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:44:37 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
7,514.52 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:45:41 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
7,141.5 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:43:28 A.M.
-3 min
17 tx
16,815.13 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:42:23 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
1,513.99 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:47:46 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate8 tx
24,211.13 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:41:18 A.M.
+4 min
15 tx
17,244.5 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:48:51 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
5,982.27 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:40:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,069.62 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:45:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
3,069.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:45:15 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x005300181fa4eac06499c096545055e84344c25b6bd66ef73fa92008f605e0bf
3,066.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:45:15 A.M.
From: 0x004b9247805f5E437a2b2c6BB3198c31E0af0B66
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x007e000155f827e927b9b6e7dc56d62ac6bec04e94ba4c0c81426e71a2b68d39
1,069.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:45:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x0024007bbed0caeb9a3df3cbbe62cafe261581026bc1f98f3284fd68a2e94bf6
308.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:45:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004003427678c4BdB9B86d27a7a9b6569D85A263
Tx: 0x007a0012f58a73db39da9b9b0f9b8559315e96cb6c42f80e4c078df67b4789b4
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:45:15 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00ed5cB87f34bc6f72e09AcEcAc6809967011591
Tx: 0x0017000a9f04a0ae21ce7978db8a69a679c5820f7151eaa10fb40a3e2f8b0528
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:45:15 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005e0051628091375bf01a65fe694c73f4befd860b90f0a22a0b09d922f4c4f4