Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 2:41:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
69% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,815.13
Unexplained QUAI: 7,396
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
4.0x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
17
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
24,211.13 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 24211 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00ed5cB87f34bc6f72e09AcEcAc6809967011591 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (31% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
14,548.37 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net sender
Unknown type
9,723.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Balanced
Unknown type
1,916.51 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,675.12 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Net sender
Unknown type
1,020.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00ed5cB87f34bc6f72e09AcEcAc6809967011591
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 14,548.37 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate8 tx
24,211.13 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:41:18 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
5,982.27 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:40:13 A.M.
+1 min
17 tx
16,815.13 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:42:23 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
2,172.23 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:39:08 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
7,141.5 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:43:28 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:38:03 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
11,974.03 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:36:59 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
15,173.58 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:44:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,723.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
754.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Tx: 0x005c001fed3157e46697d9c361af5ab82af05ff515866510ae7c967303e21cfd
164.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003A472c57aA1e4D063d992ea41F17cBCC99C02B
Tx: 0x00780003dcd44ff0ed0f0f006126c2c0fd6e08ccc8158ca27b8023ad52d5309d
105.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0039c24f921a6d6Ff484e2ecc0F8fb3957DcCa17
Tx: 0x0024002d2b2252c321614ff10b9fea6d5593fc9ef4b9aaa1bf39b30a78fa0b20
364.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
Tx: 0x007800796271c91a419242b20927cd8e8d71dedb7071ba4bec115b058a68ad02
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00410046370619e28a927f1f0eec4aa03b0db22d6e875dc014bb07b64ff99fa2
235.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x002F6B7309F8d28cF7da67fda5040581Ef27fd87
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076005d12a7b26367366c396cc36ddbfa54acf62fe7c4cc9ec8e8167dfa1a89
512.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x002bad26037037A45dcFaa331D8EA957A8AFf12B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00070004986b2cb683e207fca2a08e45f837cd7355f6e562cff3ade7a4f7e516
9,723.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f00240d34e248ed84c1083268acb4eda17a3617f545089be48572ce7c1dae
703.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x002fb9d5b4F9bf35664398b65686dB2a021A5326
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c007f0eaaad1d9652b155a57ec973b5949acef0728cdecae244d9c6cb749d
674.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x0032Ea42bFbfED78045Bc75C4Ed9BDBdd89aB9a2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001400458e1fd5363839e3666bbb04b307c2df11c80bb0840bc6f3e73612b6be
1,360.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003300288c1cf03b4d4127769750de381d5ea67243db2e6b53715a29c4131a53
317.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c002856f7f801330c0362435e3f1677028b353587fb8f857f653fab398ed3
1,020.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:51 A.M.
From: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e003db19ffe07f08218b3c0fe5f5dda2db47a1437b9479d42c7d0f7664cee
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:38 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00ed5cB87f34bc6f72e09AcEcAc6809967011591
Tx: 0x002600e405e8a5d43b857d9922210fefa09df0dce7232357b10e38a322b17c0c
555.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Tx: 0x003800690f6515a48f4e0039a3f6ab6e1ab6eed1678bc9202b35270a0f1c1f45
322.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0039914E4d63E46B89D3b7Ce347C2C8690BCba6f
Tx: 0x006a00296d10179057c86dfa1187d588f05c42d6af1c7060cf515bff0a30704a
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:41:21 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00ed5cB87f34bc6f72e09AcEcAc6809967011591
Tx: 0x000f0002469f30f65066c583d0997ada9fb4c2e332b38a6bd217253cff01d033
