Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,174.12
Unexplained QUAI: 7,050.82
Explained QI: 700
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
4.1x previous minute
7.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
5
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
8,224.95 QUAI
700 QI
Avg confidence
84.8%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 8225 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00dc1daB73974A68726C37a26bcEAd3583441309 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
980.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10
Net receiver
Unknown type
980.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00dc1daB73974A68726C37a26bcEAd3583441309
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
194.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00dc1daB73974A68726C37a26bcEAd3583441309
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
8,224.95 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:27:17 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
2,026.98 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:26:12 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,174.12 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:28:22 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
12,902.16 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:25:08 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
9,924.05 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:29:26 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate19 tx
66,610.77 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:24:03 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
9,191.55 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:22:58 A.M.
+4 min
14 tx
9,745.54 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:30:30 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
980.01 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:27:48 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
980.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:27:48 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10
Tx: 0x0043007d97e5dbe16d9380db64bab5731e08a1b6ccb05e1f275758c5ad79e626
194.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:27:48 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0029607F000d0Ff633844DCb99bDD418FE9d6090
Tx: 0x0078000e8c8d82667fcd2a08b87c2f0fddd38795dcb06f093cae73694d14801d
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:27:48 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00dc1daB73974A68726C37a26bcEAd3583441309
Tx: 0x003a0006b1a7b662a2f6a10e96fc291217526093842c4cbaa429c641700efa12
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:27:04 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x004b008b6a840bdb54d1c08c3304afb9c7b2f9babf12d12ae0c209aab25a8e63
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:27:04 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00dc1daB73974A68726C37a26bcEAd3583441309
Tx: 0x001400826129f0c6cad61165343d50de7632d1f7391dd9ecc3b79d3b365a4cc0