Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 2:25:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 2:26:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
19% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,422.78
Unexplained QUAI: 10,479.38
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.2x previous minute
6.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
10
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
37
Asset volume
12,902.16 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
69.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 12902 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00dc1daB73974A68726C37a26bcEAd3583441309 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,151.55 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
925.97 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Net receiver
Unknown type
738.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002946e63Cc11e4CFe70f54bf49f6c1719f97bd4
Net receiver
Unknown type
501.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00dc1daB73974A68726C37a26bcEAd3583441309
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
12,902.16 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:25:08 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate19 tx
66,610.77 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:24:03 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
2,026.98 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:26:12 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
9,191.55 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:22:58 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
8,224.95 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:27:17 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
57,517.29 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,174.12 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:28:22 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,084.27 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:20:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
738.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:54 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
501.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002946e63Cc11e4CFe70f54bf49f6c1719f97bd4
Tx: 0x003c0068d41bae859899efd319f572080ceb0592089ee53190bab14d2e581601
738.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Tx: 0x0062001710963aeaa2f3cb35e57ab47e6b9c5ec4494d7a01bb6293f3647eb4af
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:49 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00dc1daB73974A68726C37a26bcEAd3583441309
Tx: 0x005900a6248746027d73bce6462e8f3089703e41f02161a0c53cecee999c6ede
236.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:49 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x007400312fad22ab61bf2e27e1fb89c20b04665f1715ca9e37f1edd593bbece6
299.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001d8b0943407f32c6f543D890C3b2E2f805D40a
Tx: 0x00450047f3d1112e19dad2fd5bf8dc18c36abfc30449f2b2ab5b95a9e4e8398b
250.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00289CF4F6fEA7E8779cA1c316a844773C07A208
Tx: 0x000e004029c81edddeb5de0f94c7f5caeb92f8d237b95df44dfc551ec8430900
108.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:02 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007C3141e22eFb3D184EBdD4aA039d476fa1DE43
Tx: 0x0078003c6a89832c0a7a25ba4962a5aca76baa4f1b784d42329b5b407cf383ae
113.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001c9765Baa98a952401E23a32055617bCE29d78
Tx: 0x0077002b57c1c0486fc83e04a9517496400658f8a49fa0d4f99542e745be1684
173.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x0052001279053329b40822f4fddef975c6bfb4a84b6f09ff7ad03be0ae469d9f
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:25:02 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00dc1daB73974A68726C37a26bcEAd3583441309
Tx: 0x0070007e1f7ed84979a9d6c0060fbb58e0f982be9bff95935083f6d9c0b3d8bd