Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 2:24:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
19% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,506.36
Unexplained QUAI: 54,104.4
Explained QI: 2.43
Unexplained QI: 297.57
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
7.2x previous minute
5.2x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
11
57.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
66,610.77 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
65.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 66611 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,188.43 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
4,449.92 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,604.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0073DE0738d08Fd85eB75B2C086eDFA562b0fEe4
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,639.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,768.01 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate19 tx
66,610.77 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:24:03 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
9,191.55 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:22:58 A.M.
+1 min
15 tx
12,902.16 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:25:08 A.M.
-2 min
11 tx
57,517.29 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
2,026.98 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:26:12 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
1,084.27 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:20:49 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
8,224.95 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:27:17 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
29,660.29 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:19:44 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,604.59 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:26 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
1,062.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:46 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x0076003883ae23b252151cef6302f7abad4273f1e541a42e5d746a11b3ec0ce5
552.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001B7ebb4162a97bA4874252b6A12ecA9F73E40f
Tx: 0x007b0055138262b259d6d29f408f4619315bb81334877470ce6bec7b3e03e5d3
1,642.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:46 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00767d72Da10f3089DFee2D37e136F932d566eFe
Tx: 0x007d0043441b496ab091a66a2b86ae8509ea65de55dc17ba8b320d8012254ca6
234.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x001A03928b4eC613Be64796727C3a13704162416
Tx: 0x007e007d3987e96aff832830b268b0567c96a77e84d1ba894cd3dba3b61e16b6
168.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:26 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00761550e523f59C0d0DA9Eb7c2fAA668426bC56
Tx: 0x005700557bb5dd0f07ba3635962de9f9b0598b91ad61f5ed60fb4f6e64b05bc4
3,604.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002727Ab62F7d56f632714BE3F12b1ED3a00CCF6
Tx: 0x002000193c1e232a7d6e557eb533da4e10d6f8e2ac954e1b4eaf7a31c800fbd6
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:22 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00310085d27c034639341aa33338e0b820e7a0ff49c69a85d4fd70ed8100f4eb
981.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:22 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00180199fd8acE48A179b407f98e5dfdBEC25d89
Tx: 0x00070040f8c7726a1f0c488fb19331bd964f3f1ed4fba2d6fe8b64a8811d5a42
521.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:22 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
Tx: 0x00560046d87b053933740d28c15d365824133246b27c5fbf16e518626d9cd232
2,639.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:22 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0073DE0738d08Fd85eB75B2C086eDFA562b0fEe4
Tx: 0x006e007660e75f38638726251ff6667b61b782a27029a6a31e3704689027aba4
1,100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:24:22 A.M.
From: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
To: 0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
Tx: 0x001e0019f73c8be20466d88d5a5e1579a94185312ab8fe09e6df912fcae1ee49