Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 2:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 2:12:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 2:13:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
15% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,745.03
Unexplained QUAI: 27,219.07
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
5.7x previous minute
20x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
7
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
39
Asset volume
31,964.1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 31964 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 2:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,052.99 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,495.56 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000ECfA7B75c5bc5000404cC660Ad1Ffd5cEbC1F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,494.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,169.86 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341
Net receiver
Unknown type
868.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
21 tx
31,964.1 QUAI • 39 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:12:08 A.M.
-1 min
45 tx
5,626.42 QUAI • 60 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:11:03 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,572.13 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:13:14 A.M.
-2 min
11 tx
28,497.47 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:09:59 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1,212 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:14:18 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate60 tx
49,357.03 QUAI • 76 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:08:54 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
1,192.87 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:15:24 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
2,348.77 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/28/2026, 2:07:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,494.31 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:12:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000ECfA7B75c5bc5000404cC660Ad1Ffd5cEbC1F
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
685.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:12:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Tx: 0x0069006d16ccaebe580cfa759401582cec89752530b8c70a482edcc9981a90a2
558.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:12:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001144D6Ba715bA734BF3065B1d2DDC5fd35b315
Tx: 0x003b0075d8bd85990833dc75306025e3d7bab5f8f805be2810e535e67b068118
301.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:12:06 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003Ae0bBb0BA9B92C0C6f21C68f34a30D0122402
Tx: 0x000a00090fc7c37d134944b682b06a8ecb53c74070551956f8d5120d2d51f1d1
26.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:12:06 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0034007e27c35210267c25b71dc547782ed1a69b54331fe1c6dac49fbef2073a
1,494.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000ECfA7B75c5bc5000404cC660Ad1Ffd5cEbC1F
Tx: 0x000a00203b9f2f5be0e54e9ff8167801ba1d3e41ecb0964f967392fd4ef77307
810.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C6faED4faB16A50Fd2674cFfC24c552846f16
Tx: 0x00400054fed6529f9ef22e3652fd25c4b4ae7ef5214cb1be4ef641cd898eaff7
868.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 2:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003593FcBee9C0bD22E167bb10D78590772a9341
Tx: 0x00350002f455ca4cc5cb7860c7928acbcd4ec5dcbef1c3558370c174dc6cbe23