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Spike bucket

10/28/2026, 1:12:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/28/2026, 1:12:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

75% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 317.9

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 0

Unexplained QI: 1,000

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume

Relative context

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

0 QUAI

1,000 QI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + medium confidence + 0 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 35

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 10/28/2026, 1:12:00 A.M.

Coverage gap moderate (25% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

317.9 QUAI across 3 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e

Net sender

Unknown type

107.96 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe

Net sender

Unknown type

105.04 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004AC3051C3CF518fCEB00534ee7f62d058c7869

Net sender

Unknown type

104.89 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 317.9 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 4. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.