Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 12:14:00 A.M. to 10/28/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 22.92
Unexplained QUAI: 2,582.98
Explained QI: 900
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
114x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
2,605.9 QUAI
900 QI
Avg confidence
92.4%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00Ab277FcF5252C3e17e65C32f86e719d8043367.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2606 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00Ab277FcF5252C3e17e65C32f86e719d8043367.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00Ab277FcF5252C3e17e65C32f86e719d8043367 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00Ab277FcF5252C3e17e65C32f86e719d8043367
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
201.66 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
201.66 QI across 2 visible rows
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
22.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00Ab277FcF5252C3e17e65C32f86e719d8043367
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 200 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
2,605.9 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 12:14:02 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/28/2026, 12:12:59 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
22.92 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/28/2026, 12:15:07 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 12:11:54 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
2,181.14 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 12:16:12 A.M.
-3 min
30 tx
669.03 QUAI • 49 addresses
10/28/2026, 12:10:50 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 12:17:17 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/28/2026, 12:09:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 12:14:36 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Ab277FcF5252C3e17e65C32f86e719d8043367
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1.66 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 12:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007b00d23a8438a641882d3d9fee4a23f1f81d0c2fad204f078231663373a358
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 12:14:36 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Ab277FcF5252C3e17e65C32f86e719d8043367
Tx: 0x000500e252b19e1fdedfb8ef43364232d0b2924c3db5dc4cc31d2c46b13568be
22.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 12:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x002c000e64f5b788319d1f6a17de25d5a7d49f1b40a14b1a74351665780af756
200 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 12:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0009005d0223a43bfbbf7173781e541e853cd254e75f5d73203dd19af780eaab
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 12:14:25 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Ab277FcF5252C3e17e65C32f86e719d8043367
Tx: 0x0015003c75f4d87ee3dd6753fe3c0e68e23a20b701d6fa3b4b960b2d631e5ca5