Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 11:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 11:53:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 11:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,605.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
2,804.35 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2804 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 11:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
5,605.87 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,804.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012E6c7c6f96707535e014389823219906109CE
Net sender
Unknown type
2,801.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:52:29 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2,804.35 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:53:33 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
106.19 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:51:24 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
5,605.87 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:54:39 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
55.59 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:50:19 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:55:43 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
112.65 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:49:15 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:56:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,804.35 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:53:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2,801.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:53:49 P.M.
From: 0x0012E6c7c6f96707535e014389823219906109CE
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x000d00622e7e79c2f3a55c2df87380a3abc3f9c639ab8ccc66baa90e8e4bf2bb
2,804.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:53:32 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x000a005cf669513c62f1a376550cb7cbc6a2319e8d80a0f59da1a43f87b72271
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:53:32 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007f005711e10151c2583a2ce1368f51989650229d74d6fd9140ef657adcebe5