Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 11:47:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 11:47:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 11:48:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
7% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 74.84
Unexplained QUAI: 929.31
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
13x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
1,004.15 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
90.5%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0092Cb07bad713CE2e495886104cA52f7D97e7F6.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1004 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0092Cb07bad713CE2e495886104cA52f7D97e7F6.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x0092Cb07bad713CE2e495886104cA52f7D97e7F6 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 11:47:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.8 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0092Cb07bad713CE2e495886104cA52f7D97e7F6
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.8 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
74.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x0092Cb07bad713CE2e495886104cA52f7D97e7F6
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
1,004.15 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:47:01 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:45:56 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
74.84 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:48:06 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate10 tx
10,136.47 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:44:52 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
112.65 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:49:15 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:43:47 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
55.59 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:50:19 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:42:43 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:47:59 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0092Cb07bad713CE2e495886104cA52f7D97e7F6
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
74.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:47:59 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0053001d67da9100a6a153d43dfd1c5b66627f36e92d8e0aa3771a7bba3531b1
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:47:59 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0092Cb07bad713CE2e495886104cA52f7D97e7F6
Tx: 0x006e0012278e5f8c01eb013b708516ca0b1fac3399fcb28770577999876521e8
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:47:59 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00550045e11bd86a3c33a572812b5e8687f3f58828fa803688897c66595adc15
2.8 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:47:38 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0092Cb07bad713CE2e495886104cA52f7D97e7F6
Tx: 0x0056009399d3fec2c66bb092aa3a006de85e0b3e161f9561bcd965a3d0d3912f