Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 6:14:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,748.83
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,697.05 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,083.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
300.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
105.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Net sender
Unknown type
105.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,697.05 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 6:14:26 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,099.78 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 6:13:21 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
10/27/2026, 6:12:17 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate8 tx
1,750.17 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/27/2026, 6:15:31 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/27/2026, 6:11:14 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/27/2026, 6:16:36 P.M.
-4 min
39 tx
1,470.15 QUAI • 55 addresses
10/27/2026, 6:10:09 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 6:17:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,083.34 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 6:14:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 6:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x000a0026d5f63a9ecdbfbf3ed8bb4f198ddde4fe422c4204b148a5cc928e651e
300.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 6:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0014004bb196a28790194370b4b20d5266e51e23bc10f4a4d75bf631a355a401
105.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 6:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00510070b18fafb18e03fe339790d2dccad294814c8b2b2f6173a8cbf2f344e1
105.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 6:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00290014fd812e751117195c37ef4f9b1aee3afc05079e22fcd20edf2d4e04fd
103 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 6:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x004F6aFd2f1B23d13CD09bBC9A69cDDc9aBa217A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0070003e8189a33c2b3418cf2175ebc9bc4e5ee9bbde1d74c2d4c30aaf017a71
1,083.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 6:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051001a9a54ebeddab918fe0721fc078fedd415c5d112e6585a6262aa98b438
50.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 6:14:53 P.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x0063003c307bd88d0bb001bde7fdac1a969e4fbdc82db069184feb2405d2445e