Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 5:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 5:09:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
3.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b • 0x0014777C9e45dc457B357E411E71f62A5e88Ef60.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b • 0x0014777C9e45dc457B357E411E71f62A5e88Ef60.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 5:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
2.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0014777C9e45dc457B357E411E71f62A5e88Ef60
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate53 tx
2,124.19 QUAI • 66 addresses
10/27/2026, 5:08:53 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 5:07:48 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
3.77 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 5:09:58 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/27/2026, 5:06:43 P.M.
+2 min
35 tx
774.12 QUAI • 51 addresses
10/27/2026, 5:11:04 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/27/2026, 5:05:38 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
30 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 5:12:08 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 5:04:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2.43 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 5:09:35 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0014777C9e45dc457B357E411E71f62A5e88Ef60
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 5:09:35 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x003400181b75447bf5317835b4200fa396789b0164634bfb9a9647f7d7f7f460
2.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 5:09:35 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0014777C9e45dc457B357E411E71f62A5e88Ef60
Tx: 0x004b007e22cfe72ba0d75fe1431c3013d1e97869dc240704be1cad9fceae7e30