Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 4:05:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
10% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11.34
Unexplained QUAI: 98.66
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
82x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
110 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005599eedb534C923dB20Eb9214D900363e50ba0 • 0x00221B2C342188aCE7CC2fD7B194caE11DC8df7C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 110 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005599eedb534C923dB20Eb9214D900363e50ba0 • 0x00221B2C342188aCE7CC2fD7B194caE11DC8df7C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (90% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (10%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005599eedb534C923dB20Eb9214D900363e50ba0
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00221B2C342188aCE7CC2fD7B194caE11DC8df7C
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
110 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:05:19 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:04:14 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:06:24 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:03:10 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
137.76 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:07:28 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:02:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:01:02 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate51 tx
1,311.47 QUAI • 53 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:08:33 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:05:05 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005599eedb534C923dB20Eb9214D900363e50ba0
To: 0x00221B2C342188aCE7CC2fD7B194caE11DC8df7C
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:05:28 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002e00509ddf1fe27bc6af9e8c7c0defc6d2c90c626bc50d83449fc67ae056a9
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:05:05 P.M.
From: 0x005599eedb534C923dB20Eb9214D900363e50ba0
To: 0x00221B2C342188aCE7CC2fD7B194caE11DC8df7C
Tx: 0x006500463c77674d0fd9b2001dbd44ce1d8c8089f2a1aafb51746d4b27525890