Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 3:14:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 3:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 322.6
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 3:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
322.6 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
203.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
119.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 322.6 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
21.59 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:13:40 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:12:36 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:14:44 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate24 tx
517.2 QUAI • 40 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:11:31 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
361.64 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:15:49 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:16:53 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:10:26 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:17:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
203.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:14:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
119.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:14:46 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c00791b092e3b7677e6ab9e442884e7799cb0b6f437f92c5003b1c852fc6c
203.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:14:46 P.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00690028a5345a49be3d19e5f825121e41d069fb2aecf43b68c4e5caaa013ed8