Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 1:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 1:43:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 1:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 110.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
58.62 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 59 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 1:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
110.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
51.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
58.62 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:43:18 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:42:14 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
51.52 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:44:22 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
273.09 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:41:10 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2,383.98 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:45:26 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
54,588.75 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:40:06 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:39:02 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:46:31 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
58.62 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:43:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
51.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:43:48 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Tx: 0x003a0039dd5c48f82fa3b8c832f26549b1ba7901d4a2b1d272dc50a16683c973
58.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:43:00 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0079005721716d75e3e57790fa73a5049698504dd9dd176397bd88b3279054b7