Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 1:28:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 1:28:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 1:29:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
30% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 394.5
Unexplained QUAI: 902.44
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
1,296.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962 • 0x0039A134D5B541B87ca9E27a43141D3A92b0AF74.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1297 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962 • 0x0039A134D5B541B87ca9E27a43141D3A92b0AF74.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 1:28:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (70% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (30%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
Net sender
Unknown type
394.5 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0039A134D5B541B87ca9E27a43141D3A92b0AF74
Net receiver
Unknown type
149.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0043fB1F575B741E1A27E7c51143Db4A97a5a1C7
Net receiver
Unknown type
102.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001aBC0EcF6d0Ee0B9a739F5828846d1b52F9975
Net receiver
Unknown type
93.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015De763065a0F35b42cC99a820dE646828864e
Net receiver
Unknown type
48.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,296.94 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:28:12 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
1,299.23 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:27:07 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
863.25 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:29:17 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate7 tx
7,855.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:26:03 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
266.26 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:30:24 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
890.62 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:24:59 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,687.5 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:31:29 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,193.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:23:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
149.81 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:28:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0039A134D5B541B87ca9E27a43141D3A92b0AF74
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
149.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:28:57 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0039A134D5B541B87ca9E27a43141D3A92b0AF74
Tx: 0x0006000ba392fce68d13f332ab81045a383d7ae2400bace08bbbf0b204024dc2
102.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:28:29 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0043fB1F575B741E1A27E7c51143Db4A97a5a1C7
Tx: 0x000500792748314e5cffee2a49caed626107142d279621e9c2a459969d231843
93.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:28:20 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x001aBC0EcF6d0Ee0B9a739F5828846d1b52F9975
Tx: 0x007c0060aabf4c8828346fc0952510416370cc21db2ef3a68288e5b26da2727f
48.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:28:13 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0015De763065a0F35b42cC99a820dE646828864e
Tx: 0x0012006c5b367d95c1a0f60ff6a8a43a733d6177c5af5fda069f9bd19ed6273d