Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 1:26:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 1:27:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
17% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,299.23
Unexplained QUAI: 6,556.26
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
8.8x previous minute
6.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
4
57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
7,855.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962 • 0x0078e9FCF6b73CA2C2128A9146E2B2a0E6Af56c3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 7855 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962 • 0x0078e9FCF6b73CA2C2128A9146E2B2a0E6Af56c3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 1:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (17%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
Net sender
Unknown type
1,288.04 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0078e9FCF6b73CA2C2128A9146E2B2a0E6Af56c3
Net receiver
Unknown type
555.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006F8ac51CeE3D13f45c8B3c8161FD2A6972B25d
Net receiver
Unknown type
500.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067997B497E00B61aC6a218667F993D7F30ae26
Net receiver
Unknown type
231.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
11.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate7 tx
7,855.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:26:03 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
890.62 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:24:59 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,299.23 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:27:07 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,193.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:23:51 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
1,296.94 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:28:12 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,425.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:22:47 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
863.25 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:29:17 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,870.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:21:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
555.94 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:26:57 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0078e9FCF6b73CA2C2128A9146E2B2a0E6Af56c3
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
555.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:26:57 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0078e9FCF6b73CA2C2128A9146E2B2a0E6Af56c3
Tx: 0x00450040b65647906139eb21757b07d039b695bc9fce6b9a7612ab14ed236c1c
11.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:26:51 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Tx: 0x003800712801b0a4c67301362c45255f33b4037addadc7e6bf914995d1f5ac13
231.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:26:51 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x0067997B497E00B61aC6a218667F993D7F30ae26
Tx: 0x00610015efe9b4666d643e197a9f6c3c1d3b650d7f0a99b152cfb2cb69966935
500.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:26:10 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x006F8ac51CeE3D13f45c8B3c8161FD2A6972B25d
Tx: 0x007300679f2083fe7b9e2c9d9e45b1e2bc579be81699e6f6d981209b2ddc73eb