Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 1:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 1:21:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 1:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,226.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
3.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
1,870.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962 • 0x007DE3909021A59603201fCDf05781C5c75B2F78.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1870 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962 • 0x007DE3909021A59603201fCDf05781C5c75B2F78.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 1:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
Net sender
Unknown type
2,226.57 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x007DE3909021A59603201fCDf05781C5c75B2F78
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,246.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002f4cfbd47dD5B903F75e4Bb162c487855fD736
Net receiver
Unknown type
445.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006633e952ED1D28583d5A7eF94520F6eb3334a0
Net receiver
Unknown type
356.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007a87d4f76E71c4aF943229115347d94ccf53d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
178.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
3,171.54 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:20:37 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
556.35 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:19:32 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
1,870.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:21:42 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
1,425.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:22:47 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
285 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:18:27 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,193.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:23:51 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,097.31 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:17:22 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
890.62 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 1:24:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,246.88 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:21:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x007DE3909021A59603201fCDf05781C5c75B2F78
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
356.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:21:58 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x006633e952ED1D28583d5A7eF94520F6eb3334a0
Tx: 0x0033007748910d7f8d8cfb0037d200325b3302af0b002c3f23a5934d81e3b591
178.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:21:35 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x007a87d4f76E71c4aF943229115347d94ccf53d6
Tx: 0x0038002d6c473f91800bc9f3fdec5ca8c58abee104ea7766e9dba9ac84ce7a19
1,246.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:21:07 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x007DE3909021A59603201fCDf05781C5c75B2F78
Tx: 0x006a007a99373ca1172b4132a9f13085fb9f3210d8b6b6d781e682e9c06bb30b
445.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 1:21:07 P.M.
From: 0x0020EaAFcF03Ebe3f318ec381Ed720a0e8c49962
To: 0x002f4cfbd47dD5B903F75e4Bb162c487855fD736
Tx: 0x00040019175d6326dc9e50dd8910d9629afecb48615abfb4b37e1f6096bad0df