Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 12:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 12:11:00 P.M. to 10/27/2026, 12:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 124,728.67
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
7.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
124,728.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x005a1e159C71DaF5df4eAC56e7a3aF2186484DF6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 124729 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x005a1e159C71DaF5df4eAC56e7a3aF2186484DF6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 12:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
124,728.67 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005a1e159C71DaF5df4eAC56e7a3aF2186484DF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
62,367.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
62,360.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 62,360.97 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
34 tx
911.19 QUAI • 54 addresses
10/27/2026, 12:10:36 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
124,728.67 QUAI • 3 addresses
10/27/2026, 12:11:40 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
2,435.07 QUAI • 69 addresses
10/27/2026, 12:08:30 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
17.68 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/27/2026, 12:12:44 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,205.5 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/27/2026, 12:13:48 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
10/27/2026, 12:07:25 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,421.17 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 12:14:57 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 12:06:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
62,367.69 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 12:11:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x005a1e159C71DaF5df4eAC56e7a3aF2186484DF6
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
62,367.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 12:11:38 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x005a1e159C71DaF5df4eAC56e7a3aF2186484DF6
Tx: 0x001b007575bc0c84041befddec65f0afda1a83f6184b85fbb3adb5cc7f5572ef
62,360.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 12:11:23 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x003800642315f3a4c0e335d033e32b2700459390688a859a0f0b2814ce7b2e84