Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 11:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 11:09:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 11:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
9% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 110.96
Unexplained QUAI: 1,177.29
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
4.8x above local average
21x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
53
Observable rows
3
5.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
72
Asset volume
1,288.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1288 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 11:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (9%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
102.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
102.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
5.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Net receiver
Unknown type
5.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
3.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 102.09 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
62.48 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:08:27 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,288.25 QUAI • 72 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:09:32 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
87.89 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:07:21 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:10:36 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
628.12 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:06:16 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
86.14 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:11:40 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:05:11 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:12:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
102.09 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:09:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:09:17 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0076dD9a2152771A4a74F8B983dE3039539916f0
Tx: 0x00610055b362ba2b939bfacd31c99ad3db6012807013887ef0204130faecf3dc
5.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:09:17 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Tx: 0x0077003dfacb3a5c339f41d77edb7ad4039225abc2a8caa0ee54edb7e10ca083
102.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:09:17 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640009047fdcdae83848521322e0fbb6ce01e30ca56e29d10dae57caa1077a