Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 11:07:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 11:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
71% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 62.48
Unexplained QUAI: 25.4
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
87.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE • 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 88 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE • 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7.
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 -> 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Net receiver
Unknown type
62.48 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
41.05 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
21.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 → 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
2 repeated flows • 41.05 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
87.89 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:07:21 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
628.12 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:06:16 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
62.48 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:08:27 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:05:11 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
298.28 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:04:06 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,288.25 QUAI • 72 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:09:32 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:03:02 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:10:36 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
26.68 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:07:50 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
26.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:07:50 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x0017000fc1edcdc816672d75bbb5b2d42694fb62feea24dce560790d6a4ba3da
14.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:07:30 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x000b005383fcec41b515bcda66b17aed1cecdd9d54602826eda6e8ea0b403b99
21.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:07:30 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x006b000cc5ee0d2f0da5632d549fc0ee833bd817be586fc05f6a4fda2384f4df