Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 11:06:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 87.89
Unexplained QUAI: 540.24
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
7.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
628.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 628 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
85.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
85.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
2.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006a69330336c3d5B01b524C463d44DDb8CD5c25
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
628.12 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:06:16 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:05:11 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
87.89 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:07:21 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
298.28 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:04:06 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
62.48 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:08:27 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:03:02 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
470 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:01:58 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,288.25 QUAI • 72 addresses
10/27/2026, 11:09:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
85.01 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:06:16 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
85.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:06:16 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x0018004c46887392b22a64c04852363ad211be4230915e8f16d008f723a3fc7a
2.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 11:06:16 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x006a69330336c3d5B01b524C463d44DDb8CD5c25
Tx: 0x002a00266eab8134510353d8d50d7f6ebe5c8dd7e4addf7593dc735bada19e45