Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 8:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 8:45:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 8:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,113.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
10,113.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078Cf8B8273b93518dAc52fE6EC48e18791A40c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10113 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0078Cf8B8273b93518dAc52fE6EC48e18791A40c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 8:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,113.46 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0078Cf8B8273b93518dAc52fE6EC48e18791A40c
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,932.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000281525611441E852921D7152DC1c5420f2Bd4
Net sender
Unknown type
2,133.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
Net sender
Unknown type
1,046.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,180.96 QUAI
From exchange: 6,932.5 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,048 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 8:44:32 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
10,113.46 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 8:45:38 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 8:43:28 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
40,792.98 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 8:46:42 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2,145 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 8:42:24 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
52.08 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 8:47:46 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
50.62 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/27/2026, 8:48:50 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/27/2026, 8:40:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,932.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 8:45:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0078Cf8B8273b93518dAc52fE6EC48e18791A40c
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2,133.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 8:45:14 A.M.
From: 0x000281525611441E852921D7152DC1c5420f2Bd4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e000cc3b54831874335093d575111d5dce9492d38cc426fca59a5fca8523c
1,046.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 8:45:14 A.M.
From: 0x002b6e6AbA15db2B9019CA4f301372470643E987
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034004908126f687c33b16686fe7275da9384ee4055db2558e4d26399be6460
6,932.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 8:45:14 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0078Cf8B8273b93518dAc52fE6EC48e18791A40c
Tx: 0x0041007b0acf3622a608b0f20824d43e9e86bb60fddc1cf9e9d6759959218ba7