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Spike bucket

10/27/2026, 7:09:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/27/2026, 7:09:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 7:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 200.59
Unexplained QUAI: 1,268.95
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 18% of explained volume
Relative context
6.8x above local average
7.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
13
26.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
68
Asset volume
1,469.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0009322E6904992fF88702cDCD816f73d20d921f.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1470 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0009322E6904992fF88702cDCD816f73d20d921f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 7:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
200.59 QUAI across 13 visible rows
0x0009322E6904992fF88702cDCD816f73d20d921f
Net receiver
Unknown type
35.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
30.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
28.66 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

13 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 50. The remaining 37 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

35.85 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0009322E6904992fF88702cDCD816f73d20d921f

All transfers in this selected minute

13 transactions
13.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x000e002253956323f24f32091508c5cb0404b0cd00e8b49b97745d7f277ef302
15.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
Tx: 0x004c0042ff80e60054775d5d29f99b7617bd268a2b73d08585aea4f001dc1f56
31.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x002c004b50327db973670caf8c96447364905055c7609570a4c96ce1f7e60eef
4.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004A069DecAc6D920Bde33AD9DFD187126025B29
Tx: 0x0025005cb11d4cce20e55a866a2bfbcf602a579865913f556cb0b8d3f03c3489
35.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0009322E6904992fF88702cDCD816f73d20d921f
Tx: 0x00770031a1be03671b7c59e5bb634e25200416cbcd5aa038c312959a4c3f1cb7
6.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007C8DE1bE082D62C6dA8cD95B6B9347d9A20dCA
Tx: 0x00190021722f741492dee3ce4058b67219a0e33dabad15ad6986b1c8ca025a97
8.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
Tx: 0x0056005f2f16fb42d50e719bbf2c03f93ae74c3c6ac83cf275acf30179a828a7
9.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x00620010686e5887ccaf54a3de0c5bbf1747b9755f33e8ff1f16c5096f4424d4
7.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x001c002780f71bba3a5f542fd9322242b18ece14551d1e352248f962e26e17f9
30.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x004d005a8e57b083bf373f19f0cdaa5a89453d2bd38b29369ccf372c0a66207c
28.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x004a0019751c696f677b8673a3ccd969c6ec3b85a2ad9a74d4a97edbbc1292ab
4.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x00470007c97397ff2aa9ad2ebe7793b8605afed27a1b0762869f0f3c99db84b1
3.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 7:09:56 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x002f0044941c52774b72b720ab14f416f33915a1a19fcec8a6057029bf584761