Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 4:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 4:09:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 4:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
17% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 812.92
Unexplained QUAI: 3,945.85
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
1.0x previous minute
5.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
22
43.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
73
Asset volume
4,758.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0075554050D993E4BeE131Bcc8BBA6029263a10A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 4759 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0075554050D993E4BeE131Bcc8BBA6029263a10A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 22 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 4:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 22 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (17%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
812.92 QUAI across 22 visible rows
0x0075554050D993E4BeE131Bcc8BBA6029263a10A
Net receiver
Unknown type
313.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net receiver
Unknown type
225.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
51 tx
4,758.77 QUAI • 73 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:09:06 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
4,980.41 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
+1 min
22 tx
812.92 QUAI • 34 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:10:11 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:06:56 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:11:15 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:05:51 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
148.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:12:19 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/27/2026, 4:04:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
313.74 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0075554050D993E4BeE131Bcc8BBA6029263a10A
All transfers in this selected minute
22 transactions
11.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004B993718823F5448697151121fcf6626fA83D1
Tx: 0x002f0035d745413448afcd12af253bbb4de55876ab12b5ab8cea0ed59e35d903
7.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c7a1eE3127bbAB009BD3675Fc610c4350F865
Tx: 0x007f00524f45e083ad382cc43b5d9cedbe19931f1b7f915a56525b522e10314c
5.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Tx: 0x0005000bb34c029c4f1299be613825c9966790e6f756e1e69e555efd15bb9f53
5.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005384Cd7aE33b1CC1A2D9843BA446a4706AdA8E
Tx: 0x006b000a8e1b48405c69e52595a27780bd6015d920771a26a0fbec289e2eb754
24.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
Tx: 0x004d003a435b94a28d5b0734edd374a13d8d6a674a4600532d65368ed168d5da
32.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0035001f27cf67302b53e5558f4c7bcf309ca9c9e1f65fabf2d9c7207974e15a
22.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Tx: 0x0057001188dc5816ea791641eeed927d8f786d8587e12fa6edb894bf7d8f402b
13.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Tx: 0x0047003fad8ff0acae51ef55750faea6cd4935970bc506c61f7f7be219c46e01
5.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005fF157E6aBC874fC3988cae2C4034Feb76F69D
Tx: 0x00750039098e6514b3e5a179ddae213f7a86f219ac35fc11e0aa2abd859b57d8
3.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004A069DecAc6D920Bde33AD9DFD187126025B29
Tx: 0x004e002151dc1b604d6c5632545393c635225aace805efac7bc467c59c577222
8.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
Tx: 0x0065004805a4470eb6cf45cc1520aec2f64130b215607c23e31a7111373b31ae
10.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072c56AC01BC87d9beDD29891D147Ac35D3dde1
Tx: 0x003e0002879382b7b4321ea051976448782e8c5861d9faffbccc16b8b7e16e94
10.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001E6d34B2c76A6dB0ae13eF0DBE8F1Ed7a85ad
Tx: 0x002f000e3bc8e5be3d1edc6310e02be0f50eef075c1890ec4777381703b07797
225.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Tx: 0x002d007adfb51adfa6a82a82247610e5e3f6adb038fc79d206833410c059d00d
10.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x00560001336d38c6a3001700896f0e378d81787dbaebe3fad42d1ceec3e9ed56
18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x001e003202697c58f83d4f8c0eb84237342ab971bb9433fa9933f674385351cf
7.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x00100038697d76601a3575dfa741d1e95cc19c6acab7c4f8d98b5889e28fa442
27.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0064005ae7d04206d7a8d457236f4d05eb61a1136af3f0a2ef20cc9503388bb7
313.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0075554050D993E4BeE131Bcc8BBA6029263a10A
Tx: 0x007f0047a27df9954eff1c9aebd51c03c32c9f32afa993111f0673bf2aef41a9
4.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007812e263F6bd7e1dC20Ecd892964ba22310554
Tx: 0x003d0052555753c92e9ddc295f865bc1ecd870b2112a2455c79c354a471f24e1
13.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x0027002a17f569cef2af2676fc8b72802da9a927baa13c48b06563fc2266051a
32.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 4:09:45 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x001a003b002d94edd9b5d7de97caa4ac0d22cbf18d2fd78ac0e6df66863f0a07
