Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 3:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 3:02:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,912.03
Unexplained QUAI: 4,002.23
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
7
63.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
6,914.26 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 6914 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 3:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,250.42 QUAI across 3 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
891.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004097e992a4268a055CFa68bE76a62BeD07f62D
Net receiver
Unknown type
891.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
769.88 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0077992AC02fe6778a53eB3360722358D53981B3
Net receiver
Unknown type
742.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 891.73 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
4,869.71 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:01:25 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
6,914.26 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:02:31 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate17 tx
15,732.99 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:00:21 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
3,111.79 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:03:36 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
2,857.4 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:59:16 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
6,028.95 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:04:45 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
11,134.12 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:58:11 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,329.15 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/27/2026, 3:05:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
891.73 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:02:26 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004097e992a4268a055CFa68bE76a62BeD07f62D
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
742.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:02:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0077992AC02fe6778a53eB3360722358D53981B3
Tx: 0x00420058f0e6ce9c2d8ada31b30263c986e0f34c24a3877ef8c6dbe15dc9b0ea
150.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:02:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00716eE9D7C4eF522ccd4fD5Cbc875B4F2C789B0
Tx: 0x0021007d57563ccc3db1cb6e35e891446e79ce5188ed66aa595d87a3c06ad963
201.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:02:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00770A60FeaE7A1E68b702aE81c2A452958050dD
Tx: 0x007e003adab802a5b10e2a9a259572614b8f1b60dc59240cc574776b5de97143
135.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:02:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006e44C52e120cAe467cD7D6C7AF0f9cD328961b
Tx: 0x0069007f0f69887edb9125c8780c56d25a32f61ca9f6f86f8c3f17189fae4be3
891.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:02:26 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004097e992a4268a055CFa68bE76a62BeD07f62D
Tx: 0x005e002c03ad49dabcfbf881a89af9c983b544c37d7494db71806557bb683a14
305.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:02:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007609aC0544CE1637bD4F7f6e9952aC61c43c9f
Tx: 0x000900708e29aa68477c7f61b4dde995974b1f775258b3e4435e9e6b193350b4
484.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 3:02:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x001d0059a4b462d0c6b9dd44af22199db6d0d39596538289c5b0874c1467c4fc
