Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 2:45:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
31% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,181.78
Unexplained QUAI: 13,818.33
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.2x previous minute
3.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
6
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
20,000.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 20000 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (69% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (31%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,516.18 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,665.6 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004Db113f1738A100c99b14aB14e0C1fBbb979B7
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,733.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,676.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004C38126c89669552A626cE5982B0CB27B72689
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,607.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
20,000.12 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:45:11 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
16,968.78 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:44:06 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
6,181.78 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:46:16 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate16 tx
246,146.38 QUAI • 34 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:43:01 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
6,111.05 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:47:20 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
997.34 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:41:56 A.M.
+3 min
19 tx
42,266.89 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:48:25 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
8,442.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:40:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,733.65 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:45:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Db113f1738A100c99b14aB14e0C1fBbb979B7
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,733.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:45:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Db113f1738A100c99b14aB14e0C1fBbb979B7
Tx: 0x001f003f635ff39923bdeb7c8228ba5200ef96e1f8e86a117ed53c602e40d0e7
123.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:45:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004C6516450ABC9CD3feCa4DFFaf997A9465676F
Tx: 0x000f006c5a0b7421c86c8d45154ba351f6c4909dfc066f87557c7bbf42cf353c
1,607.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:45:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004C38126c89669552A626cE5982B0CB27B72689
Tx: 0x000200430ed987bbbc1030f1f72e6b76bdfa9df1df5342bd0929969ea481e2d4
105.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:45:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004d6A8315C2D567fe944979a836F363a159A547
Tx: 0x00640038dafcfc5ee4b17b7a7f453ba447214a08eccb383747fd741adcf053eb
1,676.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:45:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x006a0001a115908728e6ee04020d64707e14453414a2d44190e9e1fae3a26304
934.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:45:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004bFB9fC645c836F200B60b7D4e3Ac2efde2ac3
Tx: 0x00050075327d036982a1044f46247184d16b98633741e0c7a5405902dee49f9a