Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 2:41:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 997.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
997.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 997 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Net receiver
Unknown type
997.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
529.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
468.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
8,442.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:40:52 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
512.6 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:39:46 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
997.34 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:41:56 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
2,810.81 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:38:42 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate16 tx
246,146.38 QUAI • 34 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:43:01 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
224,778.23 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:37:38 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
16,968.78 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:44:06 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
10,330.41 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:36:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
529.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:41:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
468.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:41:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x002b002c1c0737aef8f91276a04f43ecb5b07f253504af7858fb8c69992e2e3a
529.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:41:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x001500064d1a5d1c318909ffec7d7f90ec72abee7f4945b9f9ac19462df7d283
