Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
42% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,535.65
Unexplained QUAI: 9,151.08
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
0.9x previous minute
2.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
15,686.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 15687 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,735.22 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,800.43 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,004.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,058.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Net receiver
Unknown type
928.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
15,686.72 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:31:10 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
17,281.97 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:30:05 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
6,535.65 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:32:15 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,281.09 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
364.02 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:33:19 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate8 tx
20,168.74 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:27:56 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
6,627.79 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:34:23 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
4,549.12 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:26:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,004.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:31:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
282.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:31:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0039914E4d63E46B89D3b7Ce347C2C8690BCba6f
Tx: 0x0025006f80577f9f097b1ed8ca1b3193ac0c46ad3766e1b2815af5170081873d
746.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:31:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003AD3ff7B29d4BEddaEc184a2D016321a4314B0
Tx: 0x000c002889b80f227f75d25ce06f46cafa3c8a03da0aaff9964ed8fdebbe368f
477.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:31:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Tx: 0x000500620756fe88fa68fc9dad6b0b596ab6fb8e5002cc0c53ab133dd8b19dc3
2,004.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:31:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Tx: 0x0022006107108f9d23860054883b35b1e8f5d9bbf2d1aa22553ef86e18096bd7
1,058.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:31:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x0024002e42142f9b09acfe6b74ee2f137c2a0d135df5767b1e85ca115ef31c9f
520.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:31:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00389d6003B44DD71FCFF1d7A1a47f7eBCD82496
Tx: 0x001100037275576c3c82c2ea5800973dc3333cac4c7a7ae68630e723371de850
517.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:31:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Tx: 0x004300620745427628013ebbcef59c2dffed4388546c0c09133d9695c67b31e4
928.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:31:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Tx: 0x0020001e57c0d7f21231ea98da0071fc6288b918bd525b9eaacb3e41915e6257