Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 2:29:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 17,281.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
1,281.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1281 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
14,461.49 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
Net sender
Unknown type
9,394.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00767d72Da10f3089DFee2D37e136F932d566eFe
Net sender
Unknown type
1,932.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,919.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
Net sender
Unknown type
1,742.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 14,461.49 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
1,281.09 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:29:00 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
20,168.74 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:27:56 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
17,281.97 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:30:05 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
4,549.12 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:26:52 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
15,686.72 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:31:10 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2,379.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:25:48 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
6,535.65 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:32:15 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate19 tx
29,361.35 QUAI • 38 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:24:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,394.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
334.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003431E023Cb2352Fb10cb2F8e3AE14C56DFa317
Tx: 0x00260047e442e8ea1e91c1c22509f16971fea983fc3d6d3d2d5280fef458659f
1,203.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Tx: 0x0005003fe10b6f479bd370d3b20af0da15383643823a212ba6c3ae9b829bf133
9,394.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x002c4df557BaBFc9F734fa3E5a3b00cf091017c7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012007fa3ff91bf6a0af478f0663814a7a0e1387e61dd458b554af2d43239c1
1,932.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x00767d72Da10f3089DFee2D37e136F932d566eFe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0020aea8b5a2f43622a0567291047c4b4cfab5d390662b9ecea7f482377a
262.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x002F6B7309F8d28cF7da67fda5040581Ef27fd87
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e00771e47a7df8589bc64ba89c8d74d13f7aa690dc33f78fd92e511e96a2d
1,742.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0078000a25e63a55a3ecf263a8c0cf56f0ce991aac4c8b3cf835bb53042c47de
894.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x002bad26037037A45dcFaa331D8EA957A8AFf12B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007300255063121b99df97daf139f65da076cf1b1cdabd19c98d541db754e5dc
234.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
From: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001500727786ea7051d93ee3894344282fe1f1e7bdcbbe38fbc26457eade955d
566.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0032Ea42bFbfED78045Bc75C4Ed9BDBdd89aB9a2
Tx: 0x0033007bda0821362105df43fcf14cb02ba77f33dff541499a4854c2421498b7
715.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:29:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Tx: 0x002c003e926be27b903ad7bb5d87eba1a89b4b3bdb7ef66ab6848f93a18076cc