Spike bucket
10/27/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/27/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 10/27/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
26% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,987.97
Unexplained QUAI: 14,420.1
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
3.3x previous minute
2.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
3
15.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
37
Asset volume
19,408.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 19408 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/27/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,291.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,291.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
984.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006bd1C12342D6ADA4d7cB54A8484f73808350DD
Net receiver
Unknown type
984.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
711.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate19 tx
19,408.07 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:19:14 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
5,916.89 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:18:08 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
8,024.81 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:20:19 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
16,182.37 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:17:03 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
14,929.57 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:21:23 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
12,659.1 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:15:58 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
6,506.51 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:22:27 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
5,586.79 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/27/2026, 2:14:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,291.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:19:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3,291.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:19:28 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7
Tx: 0x0011003a68b45d5d832ab8561778059e493873223cc191ca90524bc4ce50d454
711.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:19:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Tx: 0x0005002011df5af461492eb8d466019117e1d79850ecc4aace5be41ee167feec
984.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/27/2026, 2:19:28 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006bd1C12342D6ADA4d7cB54A8484f73808350DD
Tx: 0x002a00418d733b98804a7e0fee32dbd3521a586741dc09e8ab6b2411a2f7a991
