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Spike bucket

10/26/2026, 11:41:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/26/2026, 11:41:00 P.M. to 10/26/2026, 11:42:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
62% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,774.12
Unexplained QUAI: 6,722.99
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
6
54.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
17,497.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 17497 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 11:41:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (38% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,774.12 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
3,352.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0047a7419406ff9c0942F4327Cc65dC4e940F31e
Net sender
Unknown type
3,231.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
Net sender
Unknown type
1,525.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x002068721922239001FEA8422BBAa085B5588dbA
Net sender
Unknown type
1,430.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,774.12 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Alert contextSignal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min-5 min-1 min+1 min+5 min+15 minRaw alerts API
6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 11. The remaining 5 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
17,497.11 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/26/2026, 11:41:25 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate31 tx
55,663.2 QUAI • 52 addresses
10/26/2026, 11:40:19 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/26/2026, 11:39:13 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
11,916.19 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/26/2026, 11:42:30 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/26/2026, 11:38:09 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/26/2026, 11:43:34 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
101.65 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/26/2026, 11:37:04 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/26/2026, 11:44:43 P.M.

Biggest whale alert

3,352.41 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 11:41:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
525.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 11:41:31 P.M.
From: 0x001d953885Ae9160bB361c361CF1Fa251be6e1D7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00010062fe6b09b473c6658f29e16859e7f0c6aab34bae888e609b0eb239e050
Open txWallet profile
3,231.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 11:41:31 P.M.
From: 0x0047a7419406ff9c0942F4327Cc65dC4e940F31e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f0008be41fdfd4eddd27bae10643c996eebfe086858c95e293ca36681c575
Open txWallet profile
709.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 11:41:31 P.M.
From: 0x004C516E73702b2497270E258274573fcdA39932
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00080004223b065032a15119c8695f47e7e9b1ed5fbe2c72650b953ab95b8107
Open txWallet profile
1,525.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 11:41:31 P.M.
From: 0x0012a84E8afc1AbEdd268719189B092C2615BC51
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0059005027cb39281874157b9300d307d41d7f5161adea7a212e094213312eec
Open txWallet profile
3,352.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 11:41:31 P.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d001bd9149255f976abd8c5f81955b7c3cabdc758fa2d4fa9f8f999493c96
Open txWallet profile
1,430.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 11:41:31 P.M.
From: 0x002068721922239001FEA8422BBAa085B5588dbA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c007cf5e35313a7866e533647f8c70827d9a0f9d3ab62958cc7b89edf99f9
Open txWallet profile