Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 8:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 8:12:00 P.M. to 10/26/2026, 8:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 331.48
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 8:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
309.81 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
206.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Net sender
Unknown type
103.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
21.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 309.81 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:12:17 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:11:14 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
331.48 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:13:21 P.M.
-2 min
34 tx
638.51 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:10:09 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:14:26 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,507.81 QUAI • 70 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:09:05 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
750 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:08:01 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
53.55 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:15:31 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
206.45 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 8:12:29 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
21.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 8:12:29 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x000d000b261ed13ead442d1f2e154784c4ebe6d15167f5494ad4056fc9b79632
206.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 8:12:29 P.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d0000dbc66ddf1f9a562bb1a6cafda7cd088948979c4f67c58ce7cde6f1c6
103.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 8:12:29 P.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d006f8d79ea9156af088e1b96b27a5a372fb1f6441344437af4e85d38348a