Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 7:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 7:14:00 P.M. to 10/26/2026, 7:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 757.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
757.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 758 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 7:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
757.79 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
300.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
248.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Net sender
Unknown type
105.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
102.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 757.79 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/26/2026, 7:13:44 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/26/2026, 7:12:40 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
757.79 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/26/2026, 7:14:47 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/26/2026, 7:11:37 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
5,200 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/26/2026, 7:15:51 P.M.
-3 min
21 tx
825.74 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/26/2026, 7:10:32 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/26/2026, 7:16:55 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/26/2026, 7:17:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
300.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 7:14:17 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
102.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 7:14:30 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0074005f08e28ab9c69922ae71a0b64876bd76470711657e05228397e90a6286
105.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 7:14:30 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017004032ef8f3b9e6a11c9f64bc023b3d0f27146c3a9caef8088e5af2623da
300.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 7:14:17 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00390058a8e660b2df52690e59ae72105519b34fde9aa2e6711ee7003e5e0374
248.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 7:14:17 P.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012001040c462423eaec3d10626d1d34bf960a1676eb42e651129c6d8dbdacb