Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 3:24:00 P.M. to 10/26/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
56% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,200.31
Unexplained QUAI: 6,519.82
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 17% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
6
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
14,720.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 14720 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (44% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (56%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
8,200.31 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Net sender
Unknown type
1,408.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000969EAfe64abb852Ee9d9b30A79845a04a97fa
Net sender
Unknown type
1,393.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007a597d7779eED480454E5D7aBf07897db47aDc
Net sender
Unknown type
1,374.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net sender
Unknown type
1,372.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 8,200.31 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
20 tx
52,376.51 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:23:46 P.M.
-1 min
17 tx
121,118.82 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:22:42 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
14,720.12 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:24:51 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate11 tx
1,121,136.64 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:21:37 P.M.
+2 min
18 tx
19,732.07 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:25:56 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:20:32 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
326.78 QUAI • 7 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:28:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,408.96 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
1,323.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:09 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0014002a455f9bb901fbdceebfcd1cf5285118030b978df8319101205de43545
1,408.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:09 P.M.
From: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00410019324f8405d4981889535b41399184566a6db50422332263c75a71535a
1,372.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:09 P.M.
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0010a972d2e545b1bef72ecd8bf9e02b886b36d1158f7d4cd9a383ec87cd
1,327.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:09 P.M.
From: 0x00246c2276365c5C24b164e25e87d5be71A7D0F6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d000aeecc00d7dee85fc7ef6fd6c17c84bea3f3d9e85400dbcb44138fa2f5
1,393.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:09 P.M.
From: 0x000969EAfe64abb852Ee9d9b30A79845a04a97fa
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00660000d51fd495889af0a1c11bab0125b64a50b59d57cbd23633ec1f0fb5f5
1,374.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:09 P.M.
From: 0x007a597d7779eED480454E5D7aBf07897db47aDc
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d00127dfb62f50beed8e0705b4f31ffbd4970e59f1585ca8f6c1c7d271bbd