Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 2:33:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 2:33:00 P.M. to 10/26/2026, 2:34:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 616.75
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
7.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
616.75 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00108459Bed07810155dA04aC2121232F66b8ec0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 617 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00108459Bed07810155dA04aC2121232F66b8ec0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 2:33:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
357.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00108459Bed07810155dA04aC2121232F66b8ec0
Net receiver
Unknown type
357.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
259.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
259.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 357.68 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:32:32 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
616.75 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:33:36 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:34:40 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:30:28 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
64.42 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:35:44 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:29:24 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:36:48 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:28:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
357.68 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:33:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00108459Bed07810155dA04aC2121232F66b8ec0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
357.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:33:30 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00108459Bed07810155dA04aC2121232F66b8ec0
Tx: 0x004d00405ab8e620b6e521c56c75bf2101abd8b0e449aac2bf3a4bfb43f2c1f1
259.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:33:02 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x00488f0f9478B351C0820c38cC37c5aac3e54386
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x00320078f29c3ce2df5091bc16b841d71173fb3e37ce245929d7895f9758e07a