Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 2:09:00 P.M. to 10/26/2026, 2:10:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
20% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 239.65
Unexplained QUAI: 965.65
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
40x previous minute
5.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
50
Observable rows
3
6.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
68
Asset volume
1,205.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1205 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (80% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (20%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
219.23 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
114.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00050C938E308A3192eC5D5741eFA3f7F008bEF4
Net sender
Unknown type
105.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
20.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
20.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 219.23 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
50 tx
1,205.31 QUAI • 68 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:09:08 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
30 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:08:04 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
239.65 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:10:12 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
89.33 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:07:00 P.M.
+2 min
31 tx
828.19 QUAI • 43 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:11:17 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:05:56 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:12:20 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
18,443.64 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:04:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
114.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:09:26 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
114.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:09:26 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c003f5af202caa241c89f5e99271d700303b342adc2a40b7a054357e8161e
105.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:09:26 P.M.
From: 0x00050C938E308A3192eC5D5741eFA3f7F008bEF4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018000109ae5ba0226c21f7444b6d497ec561eff6d5af291e609718ff989a3c
20.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:09:26 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005d005a7d9e1adf333efe45644905ee1dab41fb47d4f80b9c8b329c342cd56b