Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 9:00:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 9:00:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 9:01:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
4% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20.37
Unexplained QUAI: 517.19
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
537.57 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA • 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 538 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA • 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB.
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA -> 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 9:00:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.17 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.17 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
20.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
20.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:59:32 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
537.57 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/26/2026, 9:00:36 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:58:29 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/26/2026, 9:01:40 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
518 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:57:25 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/26/2026, 9:02:43 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/26/2026, 8:56:21 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/26/2026, 9:03:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
300 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 9:00:05 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.17 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 9:00:26 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001c00a9aea4dcc50fa83f9bb9b6cb910b754e455701060616730ebce46900eb
20.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 9:00:05 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005e006f14a657cc0a9de50fbea8a9739aacd9a1b0baf10d2c97ac05066ef5c7
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 9:00:05 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001d0063016561eeebb78cabd7f0e27fdf96ecd2e6b476a7cbfaa18974b63616