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Spike bucket

10/26/2026, 6:11:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/26/2026, 6:11:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,619.75
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 300
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
37
Observable rows
6
16.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
57
Asset volume
564.59 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 565 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 6:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,619.75 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630
Net sender
Unknown type
604.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Net sender
Unknown type
378.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
Net sender
Unknown type
320.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
111.55 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,619.75 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 37. The remaining 31 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

604.14 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 6:11:47 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
320.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 6:11:47 A.M.
From: 0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0059006b2ec1f8a651b6243d9edef06a5f49c3df0de96fafa4b25ebe13a09e4e
Open txWallet profile
99.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 6:11:47 A.M.
From: 0x003e14993f0d5Bb98cD611909d4C2cADF25a0Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003007b7f85a39b3e577440168115a8d7ee145972ed30e89628c080d364dddb
Open txWallet profile
604.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 6:11:47 A.M.
From: 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00040077b65a3e1bafa4de180c64e59136a44ffe2e9965c8d6ab2b733246395d
Open txWallet profile
105.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 6:11:47 A.M.
From: 0x004e84C5B931a633Ddb6f028Db2a26C3F0563609
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0050006cb03c3c492ca4e3323b29700cec5ac318e942b4d69ca6674c68d0414b
Open txWallet profile
378.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 6:11:47 A.M.
From: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0037dc1b1082ba65f1930c776ca921f16e2f3979a4d4d1173c7529c7751e
Open txWallet profile
111.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 6:11:47 A.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c000bcc8509189e9a8eaa5f424d388bcfbb8711621837b1ba5a40c7609d79
Open txWallet profile