Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 3:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 3:45:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 3:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
82% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,862.53
Unexplained QUAI: 1,050.86
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
5,913.39 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00311c2c160012bFa7Be37B3572b9C05f0fD410D.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 5913 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00311c2c160012bFa7Be37B3572b9C05f0fD410D.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 3:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,862.53 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00311c2c160012bFa7Be37B3572b9C05f0fD410D
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,555.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,306.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x00f5542719E548f0489f66fb722C6Aacd74D008C
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
5,913.39 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:45:15 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:44:10 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:46:18 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
513.41 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:43:06 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
2,017.01 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:47:22 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate11 tx
17,047.93 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:42:01 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
13,413.2 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:48:26 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
7,562.28 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:40:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,555.61 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:45:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00311c2c160012bFa7Be37B3572b9C05f0fD410D
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,306.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:45:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
Tx: 0x002b005e2b0ecd2426f8c892cdedb4977d9073e85c0e7450f9c8975866385bbc
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:45:12 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f5542719E548f0489f66fb722C6Aacd74D008C
Tx: 0x0020005f6a9a29e4a58eba0425106b7ba1f9df021c4a1459426380cb8ea6e565
3,555.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:45:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00311c2c160012bFa7Be37B3572b9C05f0fD410D
Tx: 0x002f0015447c543a7ffb28d83950165dc403585b218bff34cefc9ac5c64dd238
