Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 3:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 3:24:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 3:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
48% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,790.67
Unexplained QUAI: 10,758.6
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
9.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
26
Observable rows
10
38.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
48
Asset volume
20,549.27 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 20549 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x0087ae7923f99E120a965ca8adC7CB7C6E61Efe3 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 3:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (52% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (48%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
5,587.96 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,202.7 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,167.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,813.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007Cc9f8E4B5741DbCB2efc1540e83e948164487
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,940.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x0087ae7923f99E120a965ca8adC7CB7C6E61Efe3
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
19,410.34 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:23:47 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
2,231.03 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:22:42 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate26 tx
20,549.27 QUAI • 48 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:24:52 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
3,054.02 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:21:38 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
15,313.8 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:25:57 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
6,894.71 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:20:34 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
6,029.7 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:27:00 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
648.21 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:28:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,167.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
448.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00249Dc146e8558f53d5a4213C30Ab3c32ECA114
Tx: 0x004000695443db4fdb1555af2fe54589c16ff89a5bb98cd9596ab574f0a076ed
1,940.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007Cc9f8E4B5741DbCB2efc1540e83e948164487
Tx: 0x003d0023d0bed1cee064eb1471ba151eaede3c666c0d22f5f346b0bae44a015e
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:48 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x006900c316c7dc7f1b061358b743ff4cfe932d481d8510a166e9623a6d35ad8c
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:42 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0087ae7923f99E120a965ca8adC7CB7C6E61Efe3
Tx: 0x006800aeac4ef5a93c2b3f11ba41de4698dd49b90e32b9f1c032eb322ca6957e
2,813.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
Tx: 0x005a0037e700912a13ff7ba6d571e3b274ec976153f89fb903193d7b8c4f28fb
3,167.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00248987cc10EFD5ad504A818cA8Ed43079bc3D7
Tx: 0x0046003f68e1b6e176f216627d1d0bbb9c1272ae668a9ec8205150f3b0d77242
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:38 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00130003fd306237fd7dee953123c11c276f80f9917f154f65e0a4c0162495aa
586.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0022669D41B6754557f5df6c7F89E2C229C3AAFb
Tx: 0x001e00373f882aecf74ace9e8ecae50ecd1ce4a872d0a295109c036fe8f2b503
833.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007b8C0AD9db247E692926b896093861583cD60A
Tx: 0x000f00149eb1866d68310da7348bc0064406cba55d7fc30cc2679c2e443c3fc8
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:24:16 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0087ae7923f99E120a965ca8adC7CB7C6E61Efe3
Tx: 0x0008000fc627938f9aa5d8d9cab4424dabe4e1a4a0fa5a22005bc53a2468c62e