Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 3:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 3:20:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 3:21:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
57% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,939.79
Unexplained QUAI: 2,954.92
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
8
72.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
6,894.71 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
71.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 6895 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 3:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (43% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (57%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,500.22 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,670.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,439.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007431eF2D0C119984138BeCdFE5491d44241a1A
Net receiver
Unknown type
840.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001C7D0B0d2d77c169427df878DC30fcAAE55E4F
Net receiver
Unknown type
519.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
14 tx
5,824.4 QUAI • 34 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:19:29 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
6,894.71 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:20:34 A.M.
-2 min
11 tx
6,018.77 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:18:25 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
3,054.02 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:21:38 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
5,477.72 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:17:20 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
2,231.03 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:22:42 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
4,770.01 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:16:16 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate4 tx
19,410.34 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:23:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,670.95 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:20:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
310.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:20:51 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Tx: 0x006d001eb03be4988b80e4f2c3abff2a78e585b15bf9c77ddaaad999b990e195
262.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:20:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0075426F18AcEA0395E52E91daae40EdebE2B7b8
Tx: 0x005b002b47028b7270ddceb614e6038162fcd267e82c656ba19dd88825077faf
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:20:51 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0087ae7923f99E120a965ca8adC7CB7C6E61Efe3
Tx: 0x007f003a2522d9f8b69d5b425a6111db5c1fce06d408ffd68d8c3da284642dad
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:20:51 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00490054982eeec0c01d860c1b4071e4f2c4348eb2bcf0ba58bbc680d4f2ec15
840.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:20:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007431eF2D0C119984138BeCdFE5491d44241a1A
Tx: 0x00250076f2d2475dc5fbca81b7c8988575d66e7ac249fde3e4eb2e339254779e
519.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:20:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001C7D0B0d2d77c169427df878DC30fcAAE55E4F
Tx: 0x0026000aa2b1c17f79411144ad7ac1f2aaa0b023a0d5edd5e96ca8c77b79ed63
336.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x007500487f29ee1d19de0efe89825b63f810fe06f4427aec5607786d63389068
1,670.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:20:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Tx: 0x007a00307895ad89a46ffd8659024ba63b225be7b04934ac5b77f7f2dfe5d2fe
